Light On Dark Water

I just posted the following over at the Crunchy Con blog, in a discussion about who the 2008 presidential nominees would be. Rod Dreher thinks Obama/Edwards for the Democrats; I doubt it. I'm posting this here, just as a way of officially going on record with my prediction about Hillary, so you can laugh at me two years from now if I'm wrong, and I can crow if I'm right. And also to make sure that I've recorded for posterity my favorite observation about Bill Clinton:

I don't consider myself very savvy about electoral politics, but, that said, count me among those who don't think Hillary will ever be president. I don't have a prediction as to whether she'll run or not but I think she's just too damn irritating to too many people to get elected. I'm sometimes tempted to withdraw that prediction when I watch her making her moves to the center, but I don't know if that's really working within the party. An awful lot of people see her as both unscrupulous and sanctimonious, sort of the secular counterpart of a crooked preacher (come to think of it, that's similar to what I always said about Bill–the Manley Pointer of American politics). If that perception is as widely shared as I think it is, it's a major obstacle.

I have a hard time seeing Edwards as the Dem nominee. One reason he's disliked in the South is that he comes across as–to be brutal–a slick twerp lawyer who got rich suing people. He could be acceptable as a poor twerp if he were evangelical enough, or as a rich trial lawyer if he had a Senator Sam-type persona. But he's got the worst of both.

I wouldn't count McCain out.

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